Service Plays Saturday 7/10/10

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners (6-5, 3.01 ERA)

After struggling at the start of the year, the Mariners' ace is trying to head into the break on a high note. Hernandez is undefeated in his last five trips to the bump, posting a 3-0 record and giving up just seven runs over 42.2 innings of work. His most recent start lasted seven innings, in which he allowed two runs on six hits for a no decision in a 6-4 loss to the Kansas City Royals.

Gavin Floyd, Chicago White Sox (4-7, 4.43 ERA)

Floyd is another arm who got off to a slow start but has come around in his recent appearances. The ChiSox’s righty is 2-0 in his last four stars and has allowed only six earned runs over his last six trips to the mound. Floyd has won back-to-back starts for Chicago, recently giving up only one run on seven hits for a 9-2 win over the Los Angeles Angels.


Slumping

Scott Kazmir, Los Angeles Angels (7-8, 5.98 ERA)

The Halos southpaw has dropped three starts in a row, serving up a total of 17 earned runs while lasting only 14.1 innings during that span. He has a strikeout-to-walk count of 9-to-9 over those three starts, most recently walking five batters and giving up seven runs – including three home runs – in a 9-2 loss to the Chicago White Sox Monday. Kazmir is blaming his lackluster slider for those poor showings.


Returning

Matt Harrison. Texas Rangers (1-1, 4.47 ERA)

Harrison gets a crack at the Rangers’ fifth starter spot this weekend. He was brought up from Triple-A Oklahoma City and has made six big-league starts this season. In his last minor league start, the left-hander gave up three earned runs on nine hits in just under five innings of work Monday. His most recent MLB appearance was two innings of relief in which Harrison gave up one hit and walked a batter on June 27.
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners (-105, 7)

The Yankees didn’t land ace pitcher Cliff Lee, but that doesn’t mean they aren’t going to keep rattling off victories.

New York has put together two come-from-behind wins the last couple of games to extend its winning streak to six. Even when the Yanks aren’t converting with runners in scoring position, they are still finding ways to come out on top.

"We have confidence we're going to come up with a big hit, but we left a lot of guys on base," Alex Rodriguez said after his team went 1-for-11 with RISP in a 3-1 win over Seattle on Thursday. "We're just thinking of one opportunity to win the game."

If Brian Cashman could have pulled Lee out of his magic hat wearing pinstripes, the Yankees could have been just handed the Commissioner’s Trophy. But even without the game’s top lefty, New York is still head and shoulders above every team and will have no trouble working over King Felix and a pathetic Mariners offense Saturday.

Pick: Yankees


Florida Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks (-135, 10.5)

It’s not every day that a decision in one sport affects players in another, but when it involves the name LeBron James nobody is left emotionless.

Minutes before the first pitch of the Marlins-Diamondbacks game Thursday night, shortstop Hanley Ramirez help up a sign to the camera that read “Welcome LeBron.” Ramirez had a big, cheesy grin on his face and was giving the thumbs up.

"It's going to be big. It's going to be huge," manager Edwin Rodriguez said. "Not only in Miami, but the whole area. Everybody knows who LeBron is. The good athletes, no matter the sport.”

We're just guessing the vibes of ecstasy the city of Miami is exuding right now will carry over into the Marlins' clubhouse. Call it a hunch, take it or leave it.

Pick: Marlins
 
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CFL DUNKEL

SATURDAY, JULY 10

Game 403-404: Calgary at Hamilton (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 110.713; Hamilton 114.623
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 4; 56
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-2); Over

Game 405-406: Saskatchewan at BC (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 110.323; BC 115.402
Dunkel Line: BC by 5; 51
Vegas Line: BC by 2 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: BC (-2 1/2); Under
 
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Canadian Bacon: Week 2 Analysis and Picks

Saturday

Calgary Stampeders at Hamilton Tiger Cats (-2, 50.5)

The Stampeders were far from impressive last week against the worst team in the CFL. Sure, Henry Burris completed 27 of 40 pass attempts for 320 yards but he didn’t throw a single TD pass, got sacked twice and was intercepted once. Calgary better get into gear because the Tiger Cats will prove much more of a challenge than the Argos.

Kevin Glenn handled most of the plays under center for the Tiger Cats and finished 15 of 30 on pass attempts for 197 yards and a TD. Hamilton’s special teams produced a 93-yard kickoff return for a score last week and should a difference maker again.

Expect a great game from Hamilton kicker Sandro DeAngelis who will find extra motivation against his former team. Hamilton also showed promise on defense with four sacks and a couple of turnovers. Of course the unit ended up collapsing and allowed 502 yards to the Bombers. This will be a close one, but give the advantage to the home team.

Pick: Hamilton


Saskatchewan Roughriders at British Columbia Lions (-2.5, 53)

Can the Green Riders regroup after a thrilling roller-coaster ride that gave them a 54-51 double overtime win against the Grey Cup defending champs to kickoff the 2010 season? Lions QB Casey Printers has a history of success against Saskatchewan, but Riders quarterback Darian Durant was almost perfect in last week against the Alouettes.

It will all come down to which defense will play the best. One thing seems for sure, Durant, who was 30 in 44 for 478 yards and 5 TDs against Montreal, won’t have as much fun against the Lions secondary.

Pick: Under
 
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SOCCER NEWS AND NOTES
What Bettors Need To Know: Germany vs. Uruguay

Germany vs. Uruguay

Odds: Germany -244 to win outright, Uruguay +227 to win outright; Over/under (3)

The low point of a splendid World Cup comes a day before the tournament’s final match. The third-place game, meaningless to most viewers, will be played between two nations entering the pitch with mixed emotions.

While finishing third in a World Cup is a great honor, it seems terribly unsatisfying for a pair of teams that was so close to playing for the world crown on Sunday.

Figuring out which national squad wants the victory the most is the key to handicapping the contest.

Different Strokes For Different Folks

This is Germany’s second straight appearance in the World Cup third-place match. The three-time world champs beat Portugal in the first runners-up game in 2006, but that was in Germany. Still, Die Mannschaft have finished no worse than third in any of the last three World Cups and they placed second in Euro 2008.

Uruguay, on the other hand, haven’t made it this far in the World Cup since 1970. The tiny South American country exceeded well beyond their expectations and a third-place finish would be a great way to cap off a memorable month for the 16th-ranked nation in FIFA’s power ratings.

"Now what's left is to play to the death for third place," Uruguay forward Luis Suarez told reporters. "Because we know we've had a great World Cup, we don't want to just make do with being among the top four."

Ins And Outs

Uruguay leading scorer Diego Forlan admitted to playing with a thigh injury in his team’s semifinal against the Netherlands and, despite adding to his World Cup goal tally in the match, it was apparent he wasn’t fully fit.

He’s holding out hope that he’ll suit up and be among the Celeste’s starting 11.

“I hope to be fit for Saturday,” the Athetico Madrid striker told press members this week. “I really want to play for third place. Even that would be great for everyone.”

Forlan isn’t the only star player whose availability is in doubt. German striker Miroslav Klose is dealing with a sore back and the injury is bad enough that some are saying he won’t play Saturday, even though he has a chance to pass Brazil star Ronaldo for most career goals scored at the World Cup.

It’s not all bad news for fans looking for an abundance of goals in Saturday’s match. Uruguay’s Suarez, who’s second in team goals with three, will return to action after sitting out against the Netherlands because of a red card he received for a goal-saving handball versus Ghana.

Thomas Mueller, arguably Germany’s best player at this tournament, returns from suspension. The 20-year-old Bayern Munich forward has four goals and four helpers in just five matches at this World Cup.

Did He Really Say That?

German captain Philipp Lahm was honest and frank with reporters following his team’s 1-0 loss to Spain.

"Right now, I really don't feel like playing for third place," captain Philipp Lahm said. "The disappointment is very big. We had a lot as our goal and we didn't succeed."

Yahoo! Sports reports that Germany will fly home immediately after their match on Saturday, regardless of the result.

One more German note: Dutch forward Dirk Kuyt told reporters Germany looked scared against Spain.

“(Germany) didn’t try to attack,” Kuyt told London paper The Independent. “We are going to attack and then you will see weaknesses coming to the surface. If you play like the Germans you are definitely going to lose.

“We don’t have players who are afraid and we don’t have players who feel small against the big opponents. There is respect for Spain but not fear.”

Numbers To Know

Uruguay have allowed five goals in their last three matches after holding their opponents scoreless in group play.

Germany are 4-0 when scoring the first goal and 0-2 when conceding the first goal in this tournament.
 
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PICKS FOR KICKS

Saturday’s Best World Cup Bet

Uruguay vs. Germany

No one likes playing in a third-place game, not even bettors. Measuring a team’s psyche in these types of situations is always a dangerous game. Uruguay appears to have much more to gain from winning Saturday’s match but Germany may show up determined to take their frustrations out their opponents.

The European team is by far the more talented and deeper side. They possess goal-scoring threats up and down their roster and lead the tournament in goals at 13.

It’s hard to back the underdogs in this one. Uruguay looked tired and banged up in the second half against the Netherlands. The Celeste are giving up too many openings in their own end of the pitch and that’s not a good sign against a team with Germany’s class.

And while the comments out of the German side suggest they’ll be happy to leave South Africa sooner rather than later, that doesn’t mean they aren’t interested in going out on a positive note.

Die Mannschaft are full of young players who all hope their coach Joachim Low will remain as German manager for the Euros in 2012.

"He has to stay," German keeper Manuel Neuer told reporters. "He knows every player in the squad, and we all hope he will stay.”

Expect Germany to come out and firing to try and convince Low to hang around past the World Cup.

Pick: Germany -0.5 (-124)
 
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CFL NEWS AND NOTES
CFL East Division Preview

Can't wait for College Football season? Thankfully Canada comes to the rescue with its high scoring games and ex college stars. CFL action starts this week and here's a quick glance at the Eastern Division

Montreal Alouettes – Prediction – 1st Place

Montreal was 15-3 overall in 2009 and a decent 11-6 ATS. QB Anthony Calvillo returns but he will be turning 38 in August. His stats took a dip last year dropping from 5575 yards and 43 TDs in 2008 to 4647 TDs and 26 TDs in 2009, but it did not affect anything in the win column with the Alouettes winning the Grey Cup (the Canadian Super Bowl).

Should anything happen to Calvillo, both Adrian McPherson and former Florida Gator Chris Leak serve as decent backups (Although both sustained pre-season injuries).

The loss of centre Bryan Chiu hurts, but the Als remain one of the most consistent and well-stocked teams in the CFL. General Manager Jim Popp is one of the best talent evaluators in the league and consistently brings top notch talent from both sides of the border (remember the CFL has quotas on the amount of non-Canadian players). The defense returns mainly intact with the only key change being the loss of CB Davis Sanchez.

Montreal is listed as 3 point favorites on the road against Saskatchewan in a rematch of the 2009 Grey Cup.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction – 2nd Place

9-9 last year was an improvement for the perennial East division cellar dwellers, which also caught oddsmakers off guard with the Ticats having the league’s best ATS record at 12-5.

Entering the 2010 season, it is clear that Illinois State grad QB Kevin Glenn will be their man at the helm. Last season Glenn outperformed Boston College’s Quinton Porter and the team looked more confident with Glenn at QB.

Second year man DeAndra' Cobb returns as the starting Running Back. The former Arkansas star never had a chance to prove himself in the NFL for the Falcons, but he made the most of the opportunities given to him last year by Hamilton. Twice he topped the 150 yard mark in rushing (rare in the pass heavy CFL).

On defense and offense the Ticats have upgraded their Canadian talent over the last few seasons and with the addition of non-import kicker Sandro DeAngelis, their special teams should continue to improve.

Defensive backs Bo Smith, DB Chris Thompson and DB Lawrence Gordon depart, but former Argo Jason Shivers and ex-Lion DB Jerome Dennis should be an upgrade at that position.

Winnipeg Blue-Bombers – Prediction – 3rd Place

The Blue-Bombers want to forget last season. New GM Joe Mack has cleaned house. Gone is head coach Mike Kelly and in is Paul Lapolice. The signing of both Buck Pierce and Steven Jyles upgrades the QB position, which has been a constant struggle the last few seasons.

New Mexico State alum Pierce has been named the opening day starter and should he stay health, the Bombers could challenge Hamilton for second place in the East. However, Pierce’s health was always a concern during his days with the B.C. Lions.

Running back Fred Reid returns as their premier threat on offense. The former Mississippi State Bulldog and Tampa Bay Buccaneer rushed for 1898 yards and 8 TDs last year. On their Offensive Line, Obby Khan and Steven Morley have recovered from injuries and should solidify their pass protection.

On defense, gone is Linebacker and stalwart Barrin Simpson. The only weakness appears to be the secondary with Jonathan Hefney and Lenny Walls leaving. There have been many changes in Winnipeg and Lapolice will have to patient, but the Bombers can be a solid team if Pierce stays healthy. An 8-10, 9-9 type season is not out of the question and considering all the changes, can be expected.

The Blue Bombers were 7-11 last year and 9-8 ATS. They open as 3 point underdogs against division rival Hamilton.

Toronto Argonauts – Prediction - 4th Place

The Argonauts were one of the best fades last year going 6-11 ATS and hitting the under 11 times in 17 games. Don’t expect too much to change this year.

Dysfunction is one way to describe the Toronto Argonauts the last few years. After losing the Eastern Final in 2007 at home to the Alouettes, the Argos have been on a steep decline, both on and off the field.

With new ownership the Argos look to changes their fortunes. The Bart Andrus era and in is CFL veteran Jim Barker at head coach who will at least give them some CFL knowledge and experience. QB Kerry Joseph was released in the off-season (along with backup Cody Pickett). GM Adam Rita went out in off-season and brought in QB’s Cleo Lemon, Dalton Bell, ex Miami Hurricane Ken Dorsey and Canadian Danny Brannagan.

Lemon came out the winner and will open the season as the starter, although that sparked some controversy as Dalton Bell clearly had better numbers in both pre-season contests.

The Argos have worked considerably in off-season at upgrading their Canadian talent, especially on the Offensive Line, with the additions of OG Cedric Gagne-Marcoux, OL Jonathan St. Pierre and first overall pick Joe Epelle. Despite a 3-15 season, the Argos defence was solid and will have to remain steady in order to improve. The biggest question mark will be at the QB position, if they do not get any sort of consistency, than it will be another long for the Boatman. A repeat 3-15 season is not out of the question.

However everyone including this article accepts a bad season, so expect some value with the Argos this season. They opened as 13 point underdogs against Calgary.
 
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BETTOR'S TIPS AND NOTES
Bettor's Best Friend (BBF): Saturday's Wagering Tips

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Twins at Tigers – The home squad opened as a -140 favorite but a few markets have moved that moneyline up to -155.

Royals at White Sox – Chicago is on fire once again and surfaced as a -180 favorite in this contest. Some shops have moved the moneyline to an even -200.

Orioles at Rangers – After Texas traded for Cliff Lee the team opened as a -225 favorite in this game but some boards are offering as high as -250 now.

Angels at Athletics – The total for this game has dropped to 8.5 after opening at 9.

Weather Report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Orioles at Rangers – The forecast calls for a 40 percent chance of rain throughout the game. Game 2 of the series was delayed Friday night because of rain.

Reds at Phillies – A 50-60 percent chance of precipitation is in the forecast.

Giants at Nationals – The National Weather Service projects a 40-60 percent chance of rain.

Braves at Mets – A 60 percent chance of precipitation is in the forecast throughout the game.

Who’s Hot

Going into Friday, the White Sox had won five games in a row.

The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings in the Hamilton-Calgary series (CFL).

Spokane (AFL) has won eight consecutive games.

Who’s Not

The Angels and Mariners had both dropped four straight games heading into Friday.

Bossier (AFL) is 0-4 ATS in its last four games, getting outscored by a margin of 24.0 ppg.

Saskatchewan (CFL) is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games versus British Columbia.

Key Stat

4 – The number of wins any pitcher on the Baltimore roster has yet to achieve. If no Orioles pitcher gets to four wins before the All-Star break it would be the first team in MLB history to do so.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Minnesota Twins first baseman Justin Morneau is day-to-day with a minor concussion. Morneau took a knee to the head while sliding at second base in Wednesday's game. A former MVP, he is batting .345 with 18 homers and 56 RBIs this season. Bettors will want to check the Twins lineup before placing a wager to see if Morneau will be available.

Game Of The Day

Germany vs Uruguay

Notable Quotable

"Do I think LeBron James as he leaves Cleveland will become the most hated man in Cleveland, more hated than Art Modell?. Nonsense. Nonsense. I don't think there's any basis for it. Maybe we can each take 10 foul shots. Whoever comes in second would be the most hated. I'm being sarcastic."

-- NFL owner Art Modell, who moved the Cleveland Browns to Baltimore in 1996.

Tips And Notes

- The average goals scored in third-place World Cup matches since 1974 is 3.875. No match during those eight tournament games saw fewer than three goals scored. The total for the Uruguay-Spain match on Saturday sits at 2.5 (-133) so if you like historic trends the OVER would be the play. A lack of motivation in the consolation game could equate to less defense being played. Also, teams tend to play a lot of reserves in these situations and those guys are going to go all out. Top striker Suarez is also in for Uruguay and he may have something to prove.

- The Chicago Rush (AFL) are going to be a few men short in their game Saturday versus Arizona. The UFL collected the team’s top wide receiver, Sammie Parker, because he was under contract and Chicago’s starting fullback, Robert Boss, left the team this week to go coach at his alma mater. The Rush’s No. 2 and 3 wideouts are on injured reserve. Arizona has won six of its last seven games while going 6-1 ATS in that stretch. The spread for this game has moved from Arizona +4 down to +2.

- Here are a few key numbers for MLB totals bettors. Arizona’s Chase Field produces the most runs per game at 11.2 while Safeco Field (Seattle) yields the least at 7.1 rpg. The Rangers and Yankees are the highest-scoring teams at home (6.2 rpg) while the Pirates plate the fewest runners at home with a 3.4 rpg average. Road teams are least productive in San Francisco and New York (Mets) where they average only 3.0 runs per outing at AT&T Park and Citi Field.
 
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Hondo

Hondo suffered a third straight flush job last night when he went draino with the Metamucils, whose failure to make a deposit for him increased the IOUs to 885 ceys.

Today, Mr. Aitch is figuring on Ely to man up against the Small Bears -- 10 units on the Dodgers.
 
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KIKI SPORTS

Saturday July 10th

3 units Atlanta -125
1 unit Colorado -160
1 unit Boston +115

WORLD CUP :
3 units Germany -135
 
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HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-July 10th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[905] San Francisco |8*|-120|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[913] San Diego |8*|-145|+1.5 RL|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST

[906] SF/WAS |5*|UNDER|9 Runs|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[926] Texas |5*|-155|-1.5 RL|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST
 

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